Handling Finances

When I traveled to London, England recently, I found that my money was only worth half what it was in America.  In other words, I got half as much as the same money would have purchased at home.  That got me wondering what my money is actually worth.  My bills claim to be “legal tender for all debts public and private” but what does that mean and why does the same dollar buy half as much (in terms of both goods and British Pounds) in England?

A Brief History of Money

Early currency was simply representative of various goods.  Precious metals were used to represent things like grain or livestock.  The first coins allowed for easier transactions and let merchants travel and do business without having to carry around all their goods.  Coins also allowed for the first accounting system and allowed people to store wealth more easily than maintaining and guarding large caches of food or large herds of animals.  In Europe, gold, silver and copper were used as currency because there was a fixed amount of each metal in the civilization.  A person could be reasonably sure your gold would be just as valuable next year since it wasn’t being mined and so inflation wasn’t much of an issue with the basic coins (though of course commodities would fluctuate in value according to supply and demand).

Coins were a huge innovation, but they were still rather difficult to haul around and trade in large quantities.  Banknotes were issued in China around 1000 AD and were redeemable for coins or goods on a regional basis.  A more universal Chinese currency was introduced around 1250 AD o make long-range trading easier.  At the same time, paper currency and many financial constructs like savings accounts and exchange rates were being developed independently in the Islamic culture.

In Europe, paper currency was somewhat less orderly as governments had a tendency to print more money than they had resources.  In other words, if everybody redeemed their currency, the government would run out of coins and goods promised on the notes.

So what are dollars worth now?

Ever since the United States ended its agreement to convert dollars to gold in 1971, American dollars have been worth only what two parties are willing to exchange for American dollars.  Of course, since the US government only accepts US dollars as payment of taxes, the US dollar will be good to get the IRS off your back as long as the IRS exists (and keeps the current policy).  This is known as a ‘fiat currency’ as the US dollar’s value is defined by fiat.  That’s no small thing, and the perceived stability of the US government is a large part of why many other world currencies are pegged to the dollar and many markets (even overseas) do business in US dollars.

If the US government wanted to spend more money, they could simply print more bills, but the more they printed, the easier it would be for people to get their hands on bills to pay taxes and as with any situation of supply vs. demand, the value of each dollar would decline resulting in inflation.  If the government were to print way too many bills (as in Germany after WWI when huge reparations exceeded the amount of money they could take in in taxes) the bills can become totally worthless as citizens find that their cash is worth more as toilet paper fuel for heating fires than as currency.

It seems weird in a way to be dealing with money that is only representative of future taxes.  While it legally must also be accepted for debts in America (like credit card debt or to settle a resturaunt bill when you pay after you eat) there is no legal reason a supermarket would have to accept cash as payment for food.  Yes, they’ll lose a lot of business if they only accept gold bullion or Euros, but it’s at least possible.

It’s a funny world where we go around exchanging little green pieces of paper, but it’s better than lugging around piles of gold coins.  It’s also much easier to control the supply of US dollars than it is to control the supply and demand of a precious metal like gold when gold can be found and dug up much more easily than in midieval times.  I suspect that in the far future, we’ll do away with paper and coin money altogether and move to an entirely electronic financial system.  We might even end up pegging our monitary system to something that’s useful to everybody — like energy (what good would cashing in your dollars for gold REALLY do you)?  Until then, we’ll just have to keep doing business in our governments’ future taxes and simply be thankful we don’t have to carry around wagons full of wheat, chests full of gold, or strings of rare seashells when we go shopping!

I know what you’re thinking — I promise not to mention politics in this post!  This isn’t about the government’s tax policies or broad economic theories.  This post is about how a little planning ahead can pay off significantly.

2007 was a year of transitions for me.  I finished a Masters program in optical engineering (laser physics) and I got a new job playing with lasers.  I got married and moved out into the scary real world.  I also started my first retirement accounts and started significantly saving for the future.  And that’s where my planning paid off.

Because I didn’t start working in my new job until the end of the summer and had only a low-paying research assistant position in the spring, I didn’t make a whole lot of money in 2007.  My wife’s nannying income certainly bumped it up but in the end, we earned just enough to start paying taxes.

My Tax Rate: 0.45%

I didn’t know exactly when tax rates would kick in, but I did know that my taxable income would be very low this year so when I started my retirement account, instead of putting 12-15% of my income into a tax-deferred 401(k), I maxed out my tax-free Roth IRA with after-tax money.  My effective tax rate for 2007 was 0.45% so assuming a 28% tax rate at retirement, I saved about $1100 in taxes — or at modest 6% return on investment, that’s 11-12 thousand dollars in retirement!

Why bring it up now?  Well, I was curious as to why I was only getting $600 in my rebate check.  There’s nothing I could have done (besides earning more) to get the full $1200 and to be fair, as a husband with a good-paying job, I wouldn’t be stimulating the economy with the extra money anyway.

The Plan for 2008

It’s a bit doubious to call low income a “tax break” but this type of year can be predicted ahead of time.  With a little planning, you can match your deductible donations with high income years (say, when you sell stock) and keep taxes as low as possible.

For 2008, I’m going to do much the same as with 2007 but for a different reason.  *warning — governmental tax-policy discussion ahead!*  With our government’s record deficit and much of the military action in Iraq funded only on an ongoing emergency basis (i.e. no budgeting for future expenses), taxes aren’t going to go down in the next decade no matter who runs the country (in my humble opinion of course).  With that in mind, I’ll continue to put as much money into my Roth IRA as possible.  Not only will I be trying to max out my Roth IRA contributions, but if I save more, I’ll be building up a reserve in my taxable account for future years.  I’m going to want as much money growing tax-free as I can get, and with tax increases on the horizon I’ll wait to put more than the minimum required to get a matching contribution until I can use that contribution to reduce my income when it’s taxed at a higher rate.

So I didn’t make it without mentioning the government and taxes, but at least I didn’t mention what I WANT to happen and which candidate I think would screw up the country the most…  Small victories I suppose.T

Now that people are starting to get their tax rebates, our economy is in for some serious stimulation!  The idea is that we’re supposed to go out and buy new stuff which will keep businesses rolling along which will keep people employed.  Some might argue that we need a recession to drive inefficient companies out of business (freeing up workers and resources for better-run companies) but it’s a rather unpopular idea — especially now that our retirement savings are almost universally invested in the stock markets after years of our government giving tax breaks for 401(k) contributions.

If we step back for a moment and consider that the economy won’t totally collapse if every penny of the 100 billion is turned into profits and wages (it won’t), it will become clear that paying off debt will actually do as much or more to stimulate the economy than simply spending on consumer products.

Increasing future spending.

First of all, with every penny you pay back on your debt, you free up the monthly interest to be spent on other things.  Putting the $600 individual rebate toward debt could save as much as $150 a year in interest at an all-to-common 25% interest rate!  Today’s politicians are no-doubt counting on the stimulus today so they can take credit for the booming economy, but if we’re willing to think just a couple years out, the sustained effect of $100 billion less debt would be huge (and wouldn’t largely be wasted in profits to foreign countries).

Free up financial markets.

One of the biggest reasons for the current recessionary scare is sub-prime lending.  Sub-prime lending is hugely profitable as long as the economy is booming because lenders can charge exorbitant interest rates that more than cover defaults.  Of course, the banks book their profit each year and don’t generally set aside some of that profit to cover future defaults if the economy goes bad (or it wouldn’t be profit) so they’re stuck with huge numbers of bad loans that are no longer profitable as people become unable to repay them.

Banks don’t really want you to pay back your loan faster since they don’t earn as much interest that way, but in this case, the financial markets are so gummed up that every dollar they get back will be one more dollar they can lend out — further greasing the skids of our economy and getting everything moving again.

Ultimately, do what’s best for you!

Nobody’s trying to tell you what to do with your money, but I hate to hear people say that you should spend it or save it.  Politicians will benefit more if you spend it ASAP and make them look like they lead the economy well.  Companies worldwide will benefit more if you spend it on consumer products and a small fraction of it will go towards jobs.  The economy will benefit if loans are repaid (especially sub-prime loans) and banks will benefit if you continue to make minimum payments no matter what else you do.

In the end, look for where the money will do the most good in your personal financial situation.  While there are no strings attached, with the government running a huge yearly deficit (it doesn’t look so bad until you add in the regular “emergency was spending” to the budget), we’ll get stuck with the tab in the form of increased taxes or decreased services (say a 50% cut in social security payments?) in the long run.  While I’m a big fan of doing what’s best for my country and the world, ultimately, what keeps you self-sufficient will benefit those around you the most in the long-run.